Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.012436 0.015175 0.018639 0.023447 0.030129 0.039388 0.053772
2025-02-16 0.009084 0.012108 0.016463 0.023547 0.035572 0.057004 0.103826
2025-02-23 0.007341 0.010326 0.014994 0.023444 0.040061 0.076500 0.187464
2025-03-02 0.006062 0.008831 0.013403 0.022319 0.041866 0.092565 0.304220
2025-03-09 0.005248 0.007869 0.012402 0.021831 0.044666 0.114637 0.537678
2025-03-16 0.004753 0.007329 0.011986 0.022331 0.050177 0.153655 1.219714
2025-03-23 0.004314 0.006800 0.011464 0.022402 0.054701 0.199072 3.137513
2025-03-30 0.003854 0.006165 0.010604 0.021404 0.055430 0.230357 7.487467
2025-04-06 0.003516 0.005705 0.010012 0.020895 0.057601 0.278700 31.699475
2025-04-13 0.003316 0.005479 0.009866 0.021500 0.064499 0.391460 99176.052534
2025-04-20 0.003214 0.005424 0.010074 0.023163 0.077623 0.663078 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003089 0.005309 0.010123 0.024398 0.090643 1.130141 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002868 0.004997 0.009730 0.024360 0.098791 1.807089 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002678 0.004731 0.009409 0.024513 0.109436 3.342708 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002500 0.004469 0.009051 0.024407 0.118922 6.567092 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002299 0.004136 0.008455 0.023219 0.118682 9.773088 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002149 0.003897 0.008066 0.022703 0.124037 20.441097 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002053 0.003768 0.007948 0.023231 0.141160 137.917601 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001951 0.003614 0.007737 0.023307 0.154833 13558.934941 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001823 0.003389 0.007299 0.022253 0.153420 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001723 0.003220 0.006995 0.021716 0.158413 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001666 0.003146 0.006950 0.022355 0.183050 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001641 0.003145 0.007117 0.024109 0.236676 NaN NaN